posted 10-24-2008 01:57 PM
There is no disagreement with some of the content of the model policy. Even without research, there is good face-validity to the separation of instant offense test for issues of discrepancy between a victim and offender statement, from instant offense polygraph that attempt to test the limits of admitted behavior. There is also good face-validity to the notion of separating sex history polygraphs regarding hands-on offenses, from typically hand-off deviancy/compulsivity/paraphilia behaviors. Similarly, there is good reason - in terms of base-rates and mathematical error estimation - to separate maintenance/compliance exams from monitoring/reoffense exams.Some other ideas lack face validity and lack adequate study.
The committee, and the product, as it is being taught by Mr. Holden, is heavily influenced by Mr. Holden's theories. Some of the ideas are worthy of consideration. Many will be familiar to those in the field - because Mr. Holden has been teaching people his ideas for a while now, and because the JPCOT document is embedded in Texas ideology.
Familiarity does not equate validity.
What is important to recognized is that any quest for validity will not be satisfied by a committee declaration, or even a BOD declaration, of validity. Validity comes from studying the data.
Sure, we can standardize practices. But that does not make them valid. Standardization does not equal validitation.
It would be best to standardize our practices on the ideas that have been validated. If there are not enough validated ideas to standardize everythign we'd like, then we have more homework and study to complete.
It is unwise to set-in-stone any ideas that have not been thoroughly researched.
Some of the committee's recommendations seem to go directly against the scientific studies. Time-barred CQs (time of reference requirements) for example.
Clearly, there is a need to think ahead about the need to avoid another EPPA.
Standardization will help. Doing nothing will not help.
Staying honest about science will help too. Manipulating or ignoring the science will not help.
The argument, I heard from some of he proponents of the present "validation-through-declaration" effort was "we might not be right, but at least we'll all be wrong together." Just take a moment and think about a couple of historic examples in which people just decided to go along with things that didn't sound right, just so they'd all be together.
Yes we should be concerned about the PCSOT situation, and we should take action.
We should not endorese a pied-piper-solution or act like Lemmings out of reactive fear.
We need to stop and think, and have a discussion.
At the MRP, Mr. Holden seemed surprised that the draft proposal was not widely available. I assured him it is not available, though we would be interested in reading it.
Mr. Holden indicated to the trainees at MRP that he would contact the BOD and encourage them to make the committee's draft documents available.
It will be a shame if our BOD neglects to look before they leap on this.
r
.012
------------------
"Gentlemen, you can't fight in here. This is the war room."
--(Stanley Kubrick/Peter Sellers - Dr. Strangelove, 1964)